The latest Quinnipiac survey shows Republican Tom Smith 3 points behind Sen. Bob Casey, 48 percent to 45. It’s the latest of several weeks of polling that shows the race narrowing.
“Tom Smith’s relentless TV ad barrage has lifted him out of the coal mine to give Sen. Robert Casey a run for his money,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Casey had a 55 — 37 percent lead in Quinnipiac University’s August 1 survey. Now this race is too close to call.”
Casey led 49 percent to 43 in Quinnipiac’s poll in late September.
The two men split independents, 44 percent apiece. Women go Casey’s way 53 percent to 38, while men favor Smith 53 percent to 42.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,519 likely Pa. voters from Oct. 12-14 via land lines and cell phones. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.5 percent.
Polls have sent mixed messages about the race, with several showing it in small single digits while some show Casey with a double digit lead. The Real Clear Politics average of the race, which incorporates today’s Quinnipiac numbers, shows Casey leading by 5.3 points.
Read more: http://www.politicspa.com/quinnipiac-poll-smith-surge-is-for-real/42687/